Blog Entry

defiler's baseball 'Top 100 Prospects'

Posted on: December 14, 2008 9:04 pm
Edited on: December 18, 2008 9:34 pm
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        Name           Pos       Team       Ht    Weight    Born        College/HS    Draft Year   Bats Throws  Blurb
1.    Matt Wieters    C    Baltimore    6'5    230    5/21/1986    Georgia Tech    2007 (#5)    S    R    Ramon Hernandez trade cleared a path; I can't wait to watch
2.    David Price    P    Tampa Bay    6'6    225    8/26/1985    Vanderbilt    2007 (#1)    L    L    1.93 ERA in 14 regular season MLB innings
3.    Rick Porcello    P    Detroit    6'5    200    12/27/1988    Seton Hall Prep (NJ)    2007 (#27)    R    R    2.48 GO/AO in '08, #1 prospect by midseason '09?
4.    Jason Heyward    RF    Atlanta    6'4    220    8/9/1989    Henry County HS (GA)    2007 (#14)    L    L    "Sky is the limit" prospect; speed, power, average, discipline
5.    Colby Rasmus    CF    St. Louis    6'2    195    8/11/1986    Russell County HS (AL)    2005 (#28)    L    L    CF prospects with his power are rare
6.    Travis Snider    LF    Toronto    5'11    245    2/2/1988    Henry M. Jackson HS (WA)    2006 (#14)    L    L    Raked in Triple A and didn't disappoint in Sept call-up
7.    Madison Bumgarner    P    San Francisco    6'4    215    8/1/1989    South Caldwell HS (NC)    2007 (#10)    R    L    2008 MiLB Most Spectacular Pitcher; 1.46 ERA in 141+ innings
8.    Matt LaPorta    LF    Cleveland    6'2    210    1/8/1985    Florida    2007 (#7)    R    R    2008 U.S. Olympian and Futures team selection
9.    Thomas Hanson    P    Atlanta    6'6    210    8/28/1986    Riverside CC    2005 (#677)    R    R    Draft-and-follow completely dominated AFL competition
10.    Trevor Cahill    P    Oakland    6'3    195    3/1/1988    Vista HS (CA)    2006 (#66)    R    R    Also an Olympian, .179 BAA for '08
11.    Cameron Maybin    CF    Florida    6'4    205    4/4/1987    T.C. Robertson HS (NC)    2005 (#10)    R    R    Always seems tough to find a ranking that fits
12.    Neftali Feliz    P    Texas    6'3    180    5/2/1988    Dominican Republic    2005 (INT)    R    R    Watched him pitch here in Frisco; he's the real deal
13.    Timothy Alderson    P    San Francisco    6'6    217    11/3/1988    Horizon HS (AZ)    2007 (#22)    R    R    May someday join Lincecum/Cain/Bumgarner in SF
14.    Fernando Martinez    CF    New York (NL)    6'1    190    10/10/1988    Dominican Republic    2005 (INT)    L    R    Dominated DWL, finished with .927 OPS
15.    Lars Anderson    1B    Boston    6'4    215    9/25/1987    Jesuit HS (CA)    2006 (#553)    L    L    Patient and consistent slugger with great attitude
16.    Yonder Alonso    1B    Cincinnati    6'2    215    4/8/1987    Miami    2008 (#7)    L    R    Powerful lefty with good discipline; who wouldn't want him in their lineup?
17.    Brett Anderson    P    Oakland    6'4    215    2/1/1988    Stillwater HS (OK)    2006 (#55)    L    L    Another Oakland Olympian and '06 draftee, great stuff
18.    Pedro Alvarez    3B    Pittsburgh    6'2    225    2/6/1987    Vanderbilt    2008 (#2)    L    R    Fans soured by contractual issues will fall in love with Alvarez in '09
19.    Dexter Fowler    CF    Colorado    6'4    175    3/22/1986    Milton HS (GA)    2004 (#410)    S    R    Olympian with an impressive season in '08; big things in '09?
20.    Eric Hosmer    1B    Kansas City    6'4    215    10/24/1989    American Heritage HS (FL)    2008 (#3)    L    L    I think Hosmer has more potential than anyone on this list
21.    Andrew McCutchen    CF    Pittsburgh    5'11    175    10/10/1986    Fort Meade HS (FL)    2005 (#11)    R    R    Pirates unlikely to start the clock on him just yet
22.    Justin Smoak    1B    Texas    6'3    200    12/5/1986    South Carolina    2008 (#11)    S    L    Rangers lucky to have such an advanced college bat fall to #11
23.    Brian Matusz    P    Baltimore    6'5    200    2/11/1987    San Diego    2008 (#4)    L    L    Impressive in AFL, everyone will be watching next year
24.    Michael Moustakas    SS    Kansas City    6'0    195    9/11/1988    Chatsworth HS (CA)    2007 (#2)    L    R    Strong second half launched him up the rankings
25.    Buster Posey    C    San Francisco    6'2    195    3/27/1987    Florida State    2008 (#5)    R    R    Tough catcher dominated Hawaii Winter Ball
26.    Michael Stanton    RF    Florida    6'5    205    11/8/1989    Notre Dame HS (CA)    2007 (#76)    R    R    39 HRs in first full pro season
27.    Josh Vitters    3B    Chicago (NL)    6'3    200    8/27/1989    Cypress HS (CA)    2007 (#3)    R    R    Showed a polished bat in '08,  should develop more power
28.    Jhoulys Chacin    P    Colorado    6'1    168    1/7/1988    Venezuela    2004 (INT)    R    R    2004 International signee went 18-3 with a 2.03 ERA in A/A+ in '08
29.    Gordon Beckham    SS    Chicago (AL)    6'0    185    9/16/1986    Georgia    2008 (#8)    R    R    Good college player looked the part in pro debut
30.    Logan Morrison    1B    Florida    6'2    215    8/25/1987    Northshore HS (LA)    2005 (#666)    L    L    1.111 OPS in AFL
31.    Jordan Walden    P    Los Angeles (AL)    6'5    220    11/16/1987    Mansfield HS (TX)    2006 (#372)    R    R    2.11 GO/AO in 2008
32.    Aaron Hicks    CF    Minnesota    6'2    170    10/2/1989    Woodrow Wilson HS (CA)    2008 (#14)    S    R    Very special; expect him to rise quickly
33.    Frederick Freeman    1B    Atlanta    6'5    220    9/12/1989    El Modena HS (CA)    2007 (#38)    L    R    Look for him to attract even more atttention in '09
34.    Tim Beckham    SS    Tampa Bay    6'0    188    1/27/1990    Griffin HS (GA)    2008 (#1)    R    R    #1 overall in 2008 makes the future even brighter for Rays; pure talent
35.    Jarrod Parker    P    Arizona    6'1     180    11/24/1988    Norwell HS (IN)    2007 (#9)    R    R    K'd 117 in 117.2 innings in first pro season
36.    Jesus Montero    C    New York (AL)    6'4    225    11/28/1989    Venezuela    2006 (INT)    R    R    Showed power and discipline; will rise quickly
37.    Carlos Carrasco    P    Philadelphia    6'3    215    3/21/1987    Venezuela    2003 (INT)    R    R    A highly rated prospect for some time now, maybe '09 MLB debut?
38.    Angel Villalona    1B    San Francisco    6'3    200    8/13/1990    Dominican Republic    2006 (INT)    R    R    Impressive for his age in SAL
39.    Elvis Andrus    SS    Texas    6'0    185    8/26/1988    Venezuela    2005 (INT)    R    R    All the tools you want in a shortstop
40.    Derek Holland    P    Texas    6'2    185    10/9/1986    Wallace State CC    2006 (#748)    S    L    13-1 with 2.27 ERA and 157K to 40BB in 150.2 innings; good stuff
41.    Carlos Santana    C    Cleveland    5'11    190    4/8/1986    Dominican Republic    2004 (INT)    S    R    Very good season for the Dominican
42.    Gregory Halman    CF    Seattle    6'4    190    8/26/1987    Netherlands    2004 (INT)    R    R    Gifted athlete has rare power and speed combo
43.    Jordan Schafer    CF    Atlanta    6'1    200    9/4/1986    Winter Haven (IN)    2005 (#107)    L    L    Served suspension for hGH use
44.    Alcides Escobar    SS    Milwaukee    6'1    175    12/16/1986    Venezuela    2003 (INT)    R    R    Great instincts at SS; struggled in VWL but otherwise strong '08 stats
45.    Chris Tillman    P    Baltimore    6'5    195    4/15/1988    Fountain Valley HS (CA)    2006 (#49)    R    R    Needs to get BBs down, otherwise great numbers (20 yrs. old in AA)
46.    Carlos Triunfel    SS    Seattle    5'11    175    2/27/1990    Dominican Republic    2006 (INT)    R    R    18 year old more than held his own in CAL, played 3B in AFL
47.    Tyler Flowers    C    Chicago (AL)    6'4    245    1/24/1986    Chipola JC (FL)    2005 (#1007)    R    R    1.433 OPS in 75 AFL AB's; .973 SLG
48.    Wade Davis    P    Tampa Bay    6'5    220    9/7/1985    Lake Wales HS (FL)    2004 (#75)    R    R    Looks like a capable MLB starter; might see him with the Rays in '09
49.    Ben Revere    LF    Minnesota    5'9    166    5/3/1988    Lexington Catholic HS (KY)    2007 (#28)    L    R    Another speedster with great lead-off potential
50.    Neftali Soto    3B    Cincinnati    6'2    180    2/28/1989    Marista HS (Puerto Rico)    2007 (#109)    R    R    One of my favorite prospects, early power with low K's
51.    Brett Wallace    1B    St. Louis    6'1    245    8/26/1986    Arizona State    2008 (#13)    L    R    Name will soon become synonymous with power
52.    Austin Jackson    CF    New York (AL)    6'1    185    2/1/1987    Billy Ryan HS (TX)    2005 (#259)    R    R    Talent would suggest better statistics
53.    Andrew Lambo    OF    Los Angeles (NL)    6'3    190    8/11/1988    Newbury Park HS (CA)    2007 (#146)    L    L    Has done nothing but impress since being drafted in the 4th round of 2007
54.    Dellin Betances    P    New York (AL)    6'8    245    3/23/1988    Grand Street HS (NY)    2006 (#254)    R    R    141 K's in 121.2 innings, needs to improve on BBs
55.    Aaron Poreda    P    Chicago (AL)    6'6    240    10/1/1986    University of San Francisco    2007 (#25)    L    L    Crafty pitcher won't take long to join White Sox
56.    Brett Cecil    P    Toronto    6'3    220    7/2/1986    Maryland    2007 (#38)    R    L    Could break into Toronto rotation at some point in '09
57.    Jeremy Hellickson    P    Tampa Bay    6'1    185    4/8/1987    Herbert Hoover HS (IA)    2005 (#118)    R    R    162 K's, 20 BB's, another good arm working in the Rays system
58.    Adrian Cardenas    SS    Oakland    6'0    185    10/10/1987    Monsignor Pace HS (FL)    2006 (#37)    L    R    HS teammate of Chris Marrero; acquired from Philly in Blanton trade
59.    Michael Bowden    P    Boston    6'3    215    9/9/1986    Waubonsie HS (IL)    2005 (#47)    R    R    Keeps BB's down; not very flashy but a winner
60.    Chris Carter    1B    Oakland    6'4    210    12/18/1986    Sierra Vista HS (NV)    2005 (#455)    R    R    Lots of power, lots of K's
61.    Nick Barnese    P    Tampa Bay    6'2    170    1/11/1989    Simi Valley HS (CA)    2007 (#95)    R    R    Another great '07 draft pick by the Rays
62.    Mat Gamel    3B    Milwaukee    6'0    195    7/26/1985    Chipola JC (FL)    2005 (#115)    L    R    Made life tough on pitchers playing on the same team as LaPorta
63.    Christopher Marrero    1B    Washington    6'3    210    7/2/1988    Monsignor Pace HS (FL)    2006 (#15)    R    R    Season cut short by bad leg injury; otherwise he would be top 20
64.    Christian Friedrich    P    Colorado    6'3    210    7/8/1987    Eastern Kentucky    2008 (#25)    R    L    Talented lefty K'd 65 in 48 innings in pro debut
65.    Michael Burgess    RF    Washington    5'11    195    10/20/1988    Hillsborough HS (FL)    2007 (#49)    L    L    Powerful bat and strong arm in outfield, but low average & high K's
66.    Jeff Niemann    P    Tampa Bay    6'9    280    2/28/1983    Rice    2004 (#4)    R    R    Should compete for a rotation spot in '09 with contending Rays
67.    David Cooper    1B    Toronto    6'0    175    2/12/1987    UC Berkeley    2008 (#17)    L    L   Very nice, fluid swing; should develop even more power
68.    Kila Ka'aihue    1B    Kansas City    6'3    230    3/29/1984    Iolani HS (HA)    2002 (#438)    L    R    Garnered attention with huge season (.628 MiLB slg%)
69.    Nick Weglarz    LF    Cleveland    6'3    245    12/16/1987    Lakeshore HS (Canada)    2005 (#94)    L    L    Power plus discipline
70.    Brad Mills    P    Toronto    6'0    185    3/5/1985    Arizona    2007 (#145)    L    L    College pitcher has been dominant in the minors so far
71.    Chris Nelson    SS    Colorado    5'11    175    9/3/1985    Redan HS (CA)    2004 (#9)    R    R    .987 OPS in AFL makes up for poor season in AA
72.    Matthew Dominguez    3B    Florida    6'2    180    8/28/1989    Chatsworth HS (CA)    2007 (#12)    R    R    HS teammate of Moustakas, great defense and surprising bat
73.    Michael Inoa    P    Oakland    6'7    205    9/24/1992    Dominican Republic    2008 (INT)    R    R    Projections through the roof; all potential right now
74.    Jose Tabata    CF    Pittsburgh    5'11    160    8/12/1988    Venezuela    2004 (INT)    R    R    Acquired from Yankees in Xavier Nady trade
75.    Wilmer Flores    SS    New York (NL)    6'3    175    8/6/1991    Venezuela    2007 (INT)    R    R    There is some serious power potential here
76.    Todd Frazier    LF    Cincinnati    6'3    215    2/12/1986    Rutgers    2007 (#34)    R    R    Monster bat; Reds still uncertain with his position; my guess is corner OF
77.    Jason Castro    C    Houston    6'3    210    6/18/1987    Stanford    2008 (#10)    L    R    Defensive leader, capable bat silencing critics of draft position
78.    William Rowell    3B    Baltimore    6'5    205    9/10/1988    Bishop Eustace Prep (NJ)    2006 (#9)    L    R    Always young for his level; needs to get comfortable at A+ before promotion
79.    Reid Brignac    SS    Tampa Bay    6'3    180    1/16/1986    St. Amant HS (LA)    2004 (#45)    R    R    Wrist injury ended disappointing season; he'll be back
80.    Desmond Jennings    CF    Tampa Bay    6'2    180    10/30/1986    Pinson Valley HS (AL)    2006 (#289)    R    R    Athletic OF still needs plenty of development; talent is there
81.    J.P. Arencibia    C    Toronto    6'1    215    1/5/1986    Tennessee    2007 (#21)    R    R    College catcher seems to answer doubters every time
82.    Jake McGee    P    Tampa Bay    6'3    190    8/6/1986    Reed HS (NV)    2004 (#135)    L    L    Injury status keeping him from top 25
83.    Allan Dykstra    1B    San Diego    6'5    215    5/21/1987    Wake Forest    2008 (#23)    L    R    Big 1B has an advanced bat and should rise quickly
84.    Jemile Weeks    2B    Oakland    5'10    175    1/26/1987    Miami    2008 (#12)    S    R    Athletic 2B only played in July; showed good eye at the plate w/.422 OBP
85.    Matt Moore    P    Tampa Bay    6'2    205    6/18/1989    Moriarty HS (FL)    2007 (#245)    L    L    77 K's in 54 INN, 2.12 GO/AO
86.    Gorkys Hernandez    CF    Atlanta    6'0    175    9/7/1987    Venezuela    2005 (INT)    R    R    Part of Edgar Renteria trade last year
87.    Aaron Cunningham    LF    Oakland    5'11    195    4/24/1986    Everett CC (WA)    2005 (#185)    R    R    Crowded A's OF might lead to a trade
88.    Kyle Blanks    1B    San Diego    6'6    270    9/11/1986    Yavapai CC (AZ)    2004 (#1241)    R    R    He's big and powerful
89.    Daryl Jones    CF    St. Louis    5'11    180    6/25/1987    Spring HS (TX)    2005 (#110)    L    L    Speed and power combo stuck in Rasmus' shadow
90.    Adam Miller    P    Cleveland    6'4    200    11/26/1984    McKinney HS (TX)    2003 (#31)    R    R    Could be much higher if he could stay healthy
91.    Jacob Odorizzi    P    Milwaukee    6'2    175    3/27/1990    Highland HS (IL)    2008 (#32)    R    R    A favorite of mine, can't wait to move him up
92.    Julio Teheran    P    Atlanta    6'2    150    1/27/1991    Columbia    2007 (INT)    R    R    Like Inoa, he's all potential
93.    Ivan DeJesus    SS    Los Angeles (NL)    5'11    182    5/1/1987    Puerto Rico    2005 (#51)    R    R    Will soon be pushing for the starting job in L.A.
94.    Tim Melville    P    Kansas City    6'5    210    10/9/1989    Holt HS (MO)    2008 (#115)    R    R    Fell due to signability concerns, Royals came out with steal
95.    Engel Beltre    CF    Texas    6'1    170    11/1/1989    Dominican Republic    2006 (INT)    L    L    Another Rangers international signee making this list
96.    Michael Saunders    CF    Seattle    6'4    205    11/19/1986    Tallahassee CC    2004 (#333)    L    R    Should push for a starting job in '09
97.    Jake Arrieta    P    Baltimore    6'4    225    3/6/1986    Texas Christian    2007 (#159)    R    R    BB's keeping him from being frontline starter potential
98.    Julio Borbon    CF    Texas    6'1    180    2/20/1986    Tennessee    2007 (#35)    L    L    Lead-off potential steals & OBP
99.    Justin Jackson    SS    Toronto    6'2    185    12/11/1988    T.C. Robertson HS (NC)    2007 (#45)    R    R    Great glove; bat needs to be like April/July OPS = .941/.867 more often
100.    Isaac Galloway    CF    Florida    6'2    190    10/10/1989    Los Osos HS (CA)    2008 (#238)    R    R    Steal for the Marlins in 8th round; good tools


In order to be on this list, a player must not have exhausted their rookie eligibility, either this season or in the past, and must have signed with a MLB team.

"A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats or 50 innings pitched in the Major Leagues; or (b) accumulated more than 45 days on the active roster of a Major League club."

My rankings combine scouting reports, statistical results (amateur and professional), pedigree, makeup, and personal opinion. Age and level are used only to gauge relative performance, i.e. when a player is significantly younger than most of his competitors. I do not use "closeness to the majors" as a factor in my rankings.
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Comments

Since: Dec 22, 2008
Posted on: February 3, 2009 11:48 pm
 

defiler's baseball 'Top 100 Prospects'

thats a really long list




Since: Dec 13, 2008
Posted on: January 4, 2009 10:18 pm
 

defiler's baseball 'Top 100 Prospects'

I saw Porcello pitch in the FSL in 2008 and he is the real deal.  Jason Castro I saw in the NY-P, he has a ton of talent, but is very raw.  Tabata, overrated.  The guy who is very underrated here is Mat Gamel.  I watched him play 4,5 times in 2007 in the FSL and this guy just hits the ball hard no matter where he hits it.



Since: Aug 16, 2006
Posted on: January 4, 2009 7:40 pm
 

defiler's baseball 'Top 100 Prospects'

In retrospect I think I agree with you on Flores, but I still hold with the others. I'd also probably add in Dayan Viciedo somewhere in the 60-75 range. Looks like most of the guys you think are too low are international signs. I think Gamel is generally one of the most over-rated prospects in baseball. Just an opinon with some (not all) basis on his stats with/without LaPorta in the lineup with him.

Most of those guys missing from the list aren't too far off it. Adenhart is probably the one you'll see on other Top 100's; he's going to have to earn his way back to mine after that completely horrid '08 effort.

I can see people thinking Porcello is too high. I like his control and his groundball tendencies. I think his K rate will go up as the reins are loosened a bit. He's the type of pitcher that will have better stats in the majors due to improved defenses (that's why Brandon Webb snuck up on some people). Porcello gave up 14 unearned runs in 24 starts... imagine how many people were probably on base throughout his season that should have been outs? All pitchers have to contend with this, but a groundball pitcher relies on his defense more heavily, and he obviously did not have a good one behind him.

Nice post and you definitely have a case for each of those guys there, that's what keeps it interesting - you never know how it's going to pan out.



Since: Aug 28, 2008
Posted on: December 23, 2008 3:25 pm
 

defiler's baseball 'Top 100 Prospects'

Great list.

Couple guys I think are too high:


3.   
14.   
32.    Aaron Hicks
74.   
77.    Jason Castro
79.    Reid Brignac

Couple of guys I think are too low:

39.   
41.   
44.   
62.   
75.    Wilmer Flores
88.     


Missing from the list

Kala Ka'aihue 1B - ATL
Angel Salome C - MIL
Nick Adenhart RHP - LAA
Mark Trumbo 1B - LAA


Thoughts?


The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com