Blog Entry

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

Posted on: December 13, 2011 1:20 am
 

Week 14 brought us some separation as the top teams in the AFC (NE, BAL, HOU, PIT) all won and the Jets grabbed a Wild Card spot for now with a badly needed win since all 5 of NYJ's losses are conference losses.  And then there's DEN-BOW.  Seriously?  This story just keeps on getting more and more incredible each week!

On the NFC side, NYG pulled out a huge late win at DAL and secured the lead in the NFC East (DAL could have clinched division title in wk 15 if they had won).  GB and NO continued their positive push forward with NO gaining a playoff berth and GB getting a first round bye, but the field goal happy 49ers stumbled against ARI.  DET and ATL kept up their Wild Card positions, but the Tebow-ed CHI squad is now on the outside looking in.

Playoff clinching scenarios for Week 15 are below.  Looked at DET and ATL potential clinching scenarios, but since both teams are playing AFC opponents they could still end up with 6-6 conference records (not typical for playoff teams) and DET can still be caught by CHI and lost to ATL H2H and ATL lost to CHI H2H...both teams have to wait at least another week for playoff qualification.

Also...since the only scenario keeping PIT from having already clinched a playoff berth is a PIT-TEN-DEN Wild Card tie at 10-6 that goes to Strength of Victory, we looked at whether any combination of game results during Wk 15 could clinch that SOV for PIT and there is none.  So PIT must rely on the scenarios below.

Joe

AFC PLAYOFF PICTURE

Clinched: HOUSTON (AFC South Champ)
Eliminated: IND (Wk 12), JAC (Wk 13), BUF (Wk 14), CLE (Wk 14), MIA (Wk 14)  

NEW ENGLAND clinches division title with:
1) WIN
2) TIE + NYJ loss/tie
3) NYJ loss

NEW ENGLAND clinches playoff berth with:
1) TIE
2) CIN loss/tie + TEN loss/tie + OAK loss/tie

BALTIMORE clinches playoff berth with:
1) WIN or TIE
2) NYJ loss + TEN loss/tie
3) NYJ loss + OAK loss/tie
4) TEN loss/tie + OAK loss/tie

PITTSBURGH clinches playoff berth with:
1) WIN or TIE
2) NYJ loss
3) TEN loss/tie
4) OAK loss/tie
5) DEN loss

NFC PLAYOFF PICTURE

Clinched: GREEN BAY (NFC North Champ + 1st Round Playoff Bye), SAN FRANCISCO (NFC West Champ), NEW ORLEANS (Playoff)
Eliminated: MIN (Wk 12), STL (Wk 12), CAR (Wk 14), TB (Wk 14), WAS (Wk 14) 

GREEN BAY clinches home-field advantage with:
1) WIN or TIE
2) SF loss/tie

NEW ORLEANS clinches division title with:
1) WIN + ATL loss/tie
2) TIE + ATL loss

Comments

Since: Dec 21, 2009
Posted on: December 21, 2011 11:06 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

Thanks for the clarification on the week 17 schedule and flex game.  There is no mention of this on the schedule posted on nfl.com!  You just improved my New Year's night though.  I enjoy this blog and your collective expertise.



Since: Dec 9, 2008
Posted on: December 21, 2011 7:44 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

can clinch a playoff berth with:
1) DEN win + NYJ loss + CIN loss + TEN loss or tie


why does it not Say Oakland win?


 



Since: Nov 21, 2011
Posted on: December 21, 2011 7:40 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

Ughhh I forgot formatting doesn't work on an iPhone. Sorry about that



Since: Nov 21, 2011
Posted on: December 21, 2011 7:39 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

AFC 1) NE 2) HOU 3) BAL 4) DEN (wanted to go with KC but I couldn't..) 5) PIT 6) SD NFC 1) GB 2) NO 3) SF 4) NYG 5) ATL 6) SEA (my surprise pick but I think they shock SF at home)



Since: Dec 20, 2010
Posted on: December 21, 2011 7:28 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

Database is right about you. That's a truly obnoxious comment. Dude, I gotta lay this out for you:
Joe may have started and currently administer this blog (and I'm not even sure of that), but it's not a *private* blog. Anyone can join cbssportsline and post in this *public* forum, and if it's on-topic, you're in no position to tell them what or what not to say.

This is not your private sandbox.

Joe seems to approve of your curmudgeonly attitude for some reason.. so be it.  But, you know, I have no intention of looking for other blogs on this subject (assuming they even exist).

Happy Holidays and may you find some personal cheer.

 




Since: Dec 27, 2006
Posted on: December 21, 2011 6:54 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

I might be so motivated to get an early start on those discussions in the week 16 or 17 scenario blog entries.
Since, you've been asked by Joe (twice) not to do that, That sounds like bullying to me.


  



Since: Dec 18, 2008
Posted on: December 21, 2011 6:23 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

UnCheers....

LOL.

I might have gone with Non-Cheers
HA. I could make a strong case for "Jeers", but "UnCheers" is my favorite. Looking forward to our end of season discussion.

Brett



Since: Dec 7, 2010
Posted on: December 21, 2011 2:50 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

AFC:
NE
BAL
HOU
KC
PIT
CIN

NFC:
GB
SF
NO
NYG
ATL
DET





Since: Aug 30, 2006
Posted on: December 21, 2011 2:01 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

UnCheers....

LOL.

I might have gone with Non-Cheers...but I digress.

PREDICTION TIME...who else is in?:

Here's mine...

AFC:
1) NE
2) HOU
3) PIT
4) DEN
5) BAL
6) NYJ (SD will make a run but fall short)

NFC:
1) GB
2) NO
3) SF
4) NYG (sentimental pick)
5) ATL
6) ARI (surprise!)

      
;    

   



Since: Jan 8, 2010
Posted on: December 21, 2011 1:15 am
 

WEEK 15 PLAYOFF SCENARIOS

Honestly, it wouldn't be an NFL playoff season without AGN being a jackass on this blog with all his snide comments.  I'm not sure how anyone can tolerate it.  And I see that you don't deny being a bully here.  As far as my clout, you couldn't even fathom what I work on in the off-season.  What I'm currently working on will be finished by fall 2013.  It's truly a body of work that is going to blow peoples minds. Cool  Within 10 years from now all of the major language issues in the procedure that Brett and I harp about will be patched.  And you'll have Brett and I and Joe as well as others at this blog to thank for it.  That should be the metric by which we measure the clout of those within this blog.  You'll see.  I won't be happy until the procedure is fixed.  "Complacency is not an option!" I don't really care who gets credit for those improvements so long as they get done to our liking.  As far as me with-holding tiebreaker discussion until Joe intiates his blog at the end of the season, I could go either way on that, but go ahead and provoke me some more.... I might be so motivated to get an early start on those discussions in the week 16 or 17 scenario blog entries.

-UnCheers
-Jerry

 


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