Blog Entry

Texas' one-seed chances likely foiled by Buffs

Posted on: February 26, 2011 7:17 pm
Edited on: February 26, 2011 7:21 pm
Posted by Matt Norlander

It pains me to write it — our Jerry Palm is most likely right in this regard — but Texas is no longer one-seed worthy.

The wrongful laments of college basketball's parity-ridden season don't change the fact there's too much talent at the top for Texas to now overcome the horde and earn itself a top seed. (Bad streaks of losses from other one-seed contenders notwithstanding, of course.) The Longhorns are now 24-5 and have Ls to Southern Cal, Nebraska and Colorado ... three teams who could easily not be playing meaningful basketball in March.

Duke, Ohio State, Kansas, San Diego State, Pittsburgh, Purdue, BYU — they don't have those kinds of trip-ups on their résumés, which is as valuable in getting a one seed as the number of good wins a team compiles.

Even if today's bizarre second-half against Colorado, a game the Buffaloes won, 91-89, is rightfully viewed as an outlier in terms of Texas' defensive tendencies, the tournament Selection Committee won't see it as such when it doles out one seeds two weeks from today.

The outlier performances can easily cost teams places on seed lines. Texas won 11 of its first 12 Big 12 games by double-digits. I'd written a few times about how amazing Texas' D was, because it was that: amazing.

But no such luck for Rick Barnes' team's incredible efficiency margins today, as Alec Burks, a future pro, goes off for 33 points and 10 rebounds and leads the Buffaloes to a 55-point second half. Suddenly, Colorado is in the at-large conversation, though it's got a ways to go.

It is simply stunning, despite this happening on an opponent's floor, that Texas blew a 22-point lead. Today's game was so odd. So, so odd. Good on Colorado to take advantage of its home court and cut off the head of the monster, but I'm not sure this loss signals anything for Texas aside from seed demotion (which is significant, certainly).

Consider: Every other one-seed contender has three losses at most. Duke, BYU, Kansas and Ohio State all have two losses. San Diego State even only has two, but its chances of taking a top seed could have went out the window by nature of getting swept by the Cougars today. Consider Pittsburgh's three-loss tally and it seems highly unlikely the 'Horns can get anything better than a two now.

Not that there's anything wrong with that.

The conference tournaments leave a lot on the table. If Texas were to beat Kansas in the Big 12 title game, then it'd have a 2-0 advantage on the Jayhawks. I'm digressing here, but let me finish this post by speculating just what would happen if Texas swept Kansas and San Diego State won the Mountain West tourney over BYU, giving BYU a 2-1 record this season against the Aztecs.

Possible all four teams would win up as two seeds? Seems unlikely, but it's still a possibility, especially if Purdue continues to win.

The chase for the one seeds is still wide open, only Texas is now taking in the view from behind the rest of the pack.

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Category: NCAAB
Tags: Texas

Since: Jul 29, 2009
Posted on: February 27, 2011 2:41 am

Texas' one-seed chances likely foiled by Buffs

Hey Matty;are you kidding? Purdue a # 1? We don't have to include them because a.)they aren't that good b.)thereis no way in hell they win out and c.)half a dozen of the top teams would have to collapse for Boiler Bill to gain a top seed. Dude, you'll be happy(and lucky) to receive a 3 seed in the West if the cards fall right. The dreaded Buckeyes are the only real shot for the Big 10 in March.By the way, are you fools in the Legend or the Leader Division next fall? Myself, much like most of middle America never is quite sure what the difference is.

Since: Dec 6, 2010
Posted on: February 26, 2011 8:34 pm

Texas' one-seed chances likely foiled by Buffs

Agree that Purdue's a long shot, but winning out would likely give the Boilers a one, so we have to include 'em.

Since: Mar 18, 2007
Posted on: February 26, 2011 7:44 pm

Texas' one-seed chances likely foiled by Buffs

The fact that Purdue is even in the conversation for  number 1 seed is amazing.

As a Boiler fan I am happy about that but I know it is a long shot.

one thing is for sure, they need to win everygame they have left including the Big Ten tournament title game over Ohio St.

As for Texas, I think their hopes for a Number 1 are probably gone.

At this point I would probably have OSU, Pitt, BYU and Kansas as the 4 number 1 seeds followed by Duke, SDSU, Purdue, and Texas as 2 seeds.


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